Royals at White Sox
Last play · Michael Massey grounds out, third baseman Chase Meidroth to first baseman Jacob Gonzalez.
Win probability
White Sox100%
KC 0%CWS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 1 – 13 CWS
White Sox led after 5
Total runs
9
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 47.5% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+109 / -131
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
White Sox favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Miguel Vargas homers (18) on a fly ball to left field. Jacob Gonzalez scores. Sam Antonacci scores. (inning 3) — +27% White Sox
7Kyle Teel singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jac Caglianone. Jacob Gonzalez scores. Miguel Vargas to 2nd.1–22
7White Sox challenged (play at 1st), call on the field was overturned: Miguel Vargas grounds into a force out, third baseman Nick Loftin to second baseman Michael Massey. Tristan Peters scores. Jacob Gonzalez to 3rd. Sam Antonacci out at 2nd. Miguel Vargas to 1st.1–21
7Jacob Gonzalez singles on a soft line drive to third baseman Nick Loftin. Luisangel Acuña scores. Chase Meidroth scores. Tristan Peters to 3rd.1–20
7Chase Meidroth singles on a line drive to center fielder Lane Thomas. Junior Perez scores. Luisangel Acuña to 2nd.1–18
6Tristan Peters hits a grand slam (4) to right center field. Colson Montgomery scores. Chase Meidroth scores. Braden Montgomery scores.1–17
5Kyle Teel homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Miguel Vargas scores.1–13
4Andrew Benintendi homers (10) on a fly ball to right field.1–11
4Michael Massey grounds into a double play, second baseman Chase Meidroth to shortstop Colson Montgomery to first baseman Jacob Gonzalez. Bobby Witt Jr. scores. Jac Caglianone to 3rd. Lane Thomas out at 2nd. Michael Massey out at 1st.1–10
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
