Royals at White Sox
Last play · Jacob Gonzalez singles on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Kameron Misner. Colson Montgomery scores. Chase Meidroth to 3rd. Braden Montgomery to 2nd.
Win probability
White Sox100%
KC 0%CWS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 0 – 0 CWS
Tied through 5
Total runs
8
opened 8
fair over 49.8% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+107 / -128
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
White Sox favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Braden Montgomery grounds into a force out, second baseman Tyler Tolbert to shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. Luisangel Acuña scores. Chase Meidroth out at 2nd. Braden Montgomery to 1st. (inning 7) — +23% White Sox
9Jacob Gonzalez singles on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Kameron Misner. Colson Montgomery scores. Chase Meidroth to 3rd. Braden Montgomery to 2nd.1–2
7Braden Montgomery grounds into a force out, second baseman Tyler Tolbert to shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. Luisangel Acuña scores. Chase Meidroth out at 2nd. Braden Montgomery to 1st.1–1
7Carter Jensen singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Braden Montgomery. Starling Marte scores. Nick Loftin out at home on the throw, right fielder Braden Montgomery to catcher Drew Romo to third baseman Miguel Vargas. Isaac Collins to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
