Royals at White Sox
Last play · Sam Antonacci grounds out, second baseman Michael Massey to first baseman Salvador Perez.
Win probability
White Sox0%
KC 100%CWS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 5 – 4 CWS
Royals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9 ↓
fair over 51% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+114 / -137
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
White Sox favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kyle Teel singles on a fly ball to left fielder Isaac Collins. Sam Antonacci scores. Miguel Vargas scores. Kyle Teel to 2nd. (inning 2) — +25% White Sox
4Carter Jensen doubles (17) on a line drive to right fielder Braden Montgomery. Bobby Witt Jr. scores.5–4
3Isaac Collins doubles (13) on a fly ball to right fielder Braden Montgomery. Starling Marte scores.4–4
2Kyle Teel singles on a fly ball to left fielder Isaac Collins. Sam Antonacci scores. Miguel Vargas scores. Kyle Teel to 2nd.3–4
2Bobby Witt Jr. out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Tristan Peters. Tyler Tolbert scores. Lane Thomas to 3rd.3–2
2Lane Thomas singles on a ground ball to left fielder Sam Antonacci. Isaac Collins scores. Tyler Tolbert to 2nd.2–2
1Miguel Vargas homers (19) on a fly ball to left center field. Sam Antonacci scores.1–2
1Carter Jensen singles on a line drive to left fielder Sam Antonacci. Lane Thomas scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
