Red Sox at White Sox
Last play · Junior Perez strikes out swinging.
Win probability
White Sox0%
BOS 100%CWS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 4 – 0 CWS
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8 ↑
fair over 49.7% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +104
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
White Sox favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ceddanne Rafaela homers (8) on a fly ball to left field. Connor Wong scores. (inning 2) — -18% Red Sox
9Jarren Duran singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Tristan Peters. Romy Gonzalez scores. Caleb Durbin to 3rd.8–1
9Romy Gonzalez doubles (1) on a ground ball to right fielder Junior Perez. Willson Contreras scores.7–1
9Willson Contreras doubles (16) on a ground ball to left fielder Sam Antonacci. Connor Wong scores. Wilyer Abreu scores.6–1
7Kyle Teel grounds into a force out, first baseman Willson Contreras to shortstop Andruw Monasterio. Chase Meidroth scores. Sam Antonacci to 3rd. Junior Perez out at 2nd. Kyle Teel to 1st.4–1
4Connor Wong hits a sacrifice bunt. Jarren Duran scores. Andruw Monasterio out at 3rd. Connor Wong to 2nd. Andruw Monasterio out at 3rd, catcher Kyle Teel to second baseman Chase Meidroth to third baseman Colson Montgomery to second baseman Chase Meidroth to third baseman Colson Montgomery to shortstop Luisangel Acuña.4–0
2Ceddanne Rafaela homers (8) on a fly ball to left field. Connor Wong scores.3–0
2Andruw Monasterio homers (4) on a fly ball to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
