Red Sox at White Sox
Last play · Chase Meidroth strikes out swinging.
Win probability
White Sox0%
BOS 100%CWS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 5 – 0 CWS
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 8
fair over 50.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference-103 / -117
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
White Sox favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Tsung-Che Cheng singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Junior Perez. Jarren Duran scores. Tsung-Che Cheng to 2nd. (inning 3) — -14% Red Sox
4Tsung-Che Cheng singles on a line drive to right fielder Braden Montgomery. Caleb Durbin scores. Carlos Narváez to 2nd.5–0
4Carlos Narváez singles on a line drive to right fielder Braden Montgomery. Masataka Yoshida scores. Caleb Durbin to 3rd.4–0
3Willson Contreras flies out sharply to center fielder Junior Perez.3–0
3Ceddanne Rafaela doubles (21) on a fly ball to center fielder Junior Perez. Tsung-Che Cheng scores. Anthony Seigler to 3rd.2–0
3Tsung-Che Cheng singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Junior Perez. Jarren Duran scores. Tsung-Che Cheng to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
