Red Sox at White Sox
Last play · Jacob Gonzalez flies out to left fielder Jarren Duran.
Win probability
White Sox0%
BOS 100%CWS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 2 – 1 CWS
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
9
opened 9
fair over 50.3% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -114
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
White Sox favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Caleb Durbin homers (9) on a fly ball to left field. Romy Gonzalez scores. (inning 4) — -26% Red Sox
5Andrew Benintendi singles on a soft ground ball to catcher Connor Wong. Luisangel Acuña scores. Chase Meidroth to 2nd.2–1
4Caleb Durbin homers (9) on a fly ball to left field. Romy Gonzalez scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
