Athletics at White Sox
ATH1–
CWS14Last play · Jonah Heim strikes out swinging.
Win probability
White Sox100%
ATH 0%CWS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATH 0 – 4 CWS
White Sox led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.7% · hold 4.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+153 / -186
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
White Sox favored ↑50%Athletics favored ↓
Biggest swing · Andrew Benintendi doubles (13) on a line drive to right fielder Lawrence Butler. Chase Meidroth scores. (inning 5) — +15% White Sox
8Chase Meidroth singles on a line drive to center fielder Henry Bolte. Colson Montgomery scores.1–14
8Miguel Vargas homers (21) on a fly ball to left field.1–13
7Tristan Peters triples (3) on a ground ball to right fielder Lawrence Butler. Andrew Benintendi scores.1–12
7Andrew Benintendi doubles (14) on a line drive to left fielder Tyler Soderstrom. Miguel Vargas scores. Braden Montgomery scores. Chase Meidroth scores.1–11
7Miguel Vargas hits a ground-rule double (19) on a line drive to left field. Munetaka Murakami scores.1–8
7Munetaka Murakami doubles (5) on a ground ball to right fielder Lawrence Butler. Sam Antonacci scores.1–7
7Tristan Peters homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field. Kyle Teel scores.1–6
7Tyler Soderstrom homers (14) on a fly ball to right field.1–4
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.