Yankees at White Sox
Last play · Chase Meidroth strikes out swinging.
Win probability
White Sox0%
NYY 100%CWS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 4 – 4 CWS
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8 ↑
fair over 48.3% · hold 4.6%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-144 / +119
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
White Sox favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jazz Chisholm Jr. doubles (14) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Everson Pereira. Paul Goldschmidt scores. Jasson Domínguez scores. (inning 4) — -25% Yankees
9Colson Montgomery reaches on a fielding error by shortstop Anthony Volpe. Sam Antonacci scores. Munetaka Murakami to 3rd.9–5
8Ali Sánchez homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores. Trent Grisham scores.9–4
8Jazz Chisholm Jr. singles on a bunt ground ball to pitcher Sean Newcomb. Jasson Domínguez scores. Anthony Volpe to 3rd. Throwing error by pitcher Sean Newcomb.6–4
7Ben Rice singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Braden Montgomery. Amed Rosario scores.5–4
5Colson Montgomery singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jasson Domínguez. Miguel Vargas scores.4–4
4Spencer Jones grounds out, second baseman Chase Meidroth to first baseman Munetaka Murakami. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores. José Caballero to 2nd.4–3
4Jazz Chisholm Jr. doubles (14) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Everson Pereira. Paul Goldschmidt scores. Jasson Domínguez scores.3–3
4Anthony Volpe grounds out, shortstop Luisangel Acuña to first baseman Munetaka Murakami. Ben Rice scores. Paul Goldschmidt to 3rd. Jasson Domínguez to 2nd.1–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
