Yankees at White Sox
Last play · Everson Pereira strikes out swinging.
Win probability
White Sox0%
NYY 100%CWS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 3 – 0 CWS
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 8
fair over 48.3% · hold 4.6%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +104
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
White Sox favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Max Schuemann doubles (6) on a ground ball to left fielder Sam Antonacci. Trent Grisham scores. Anthony Volpe scores. (inning 2) — -18% Yankees
9Chase Meidroth homers (9) on a fly ball to left field. Braden Montgomery scores.3–2
2Max Schuemann doubles (6) on a ground ball to left fielder Sam Antonacci. Trent Grisham scores. Anthony Volpe scores.3–0
2Anthony Volpe doubles (9) on a fly ball to center fielder Tristan Peters. Jasson Domínguez scores. Trent Grisham to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
