Yankees at White Sox
Last play · Edgar Quero singles on a fly ball to center fielder Trent Grisham. Tristan Peters scores.
Win probability
White Sox100%
NYY 0%CWS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 4 – 0 CWS
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 49.6% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-145 / +120
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
White Sox favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Andrew Benintendi walks. (inning 11) — +42% White Sox
12Edgar Quero singles on a fly ball to center fielder Trent Grisham. Tristan Peters scores.5–6
11Andrew Benintendi walks.5–5
11Anthony Volpe out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Braden Montgomery. Ali Sánchez scores.5–4
8Munetaka Murakami homers (23) on a fly ball to center field.4–4
8Sam Antonacci homers (8) on a fly ball to right field. Chase Meidroth scores.4–3
7Andrew Benintendi doubles (17) on a ground ball to right fielder Jasson Domínguez. Munetaka Murakami scores. Miguel Vargas to 3rd.4–1
1Spencer Jones homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field. Jasson Domínguez scores. Paul Goldschmidt scores.4–0
1Paul Goldschmidt singles on a ground ball to left fielder Sam Antonacci. Ben Rice scores. Jasson Domínguez to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
