Guardians at White Sox
Last play · Chase Meidroth strikes out on a foul tip.
Win probability
White Sox0%
CLE 100%CWS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 7 – 1 CWS
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8 ↓
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-135 / +125
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
White Sox favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Angel Martínez hits a grand slam (12) to right center field. Chase DeLauter scores. José Ramírez scores. Jo Adell scores. (inning 5) — -29% Guardians
6Munetaka Murakami homers (25) on a fly ball to center field.8–2
6Steven Kwan homers (2) on a fly ball to right field.8–1
5Austin Hedges singles on a line drive to left fielder Randal Grichuk, deflected by center fielder Brenton Doyle. Rhys Hoskins scores.7–1
5Angel Martínez hits a grand slam (12) to right center field. Chase DeLauter scores. José Ramírez scores. Jo Adell scores.6–1
2Braden Montgomery homers (4) on a fly ball to center field.2–1
1Angel Martínez singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Randal Grichuk. Steven Kwan scores. José Ramírez scores. Jo Adell to 3rd.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
