Guardians at White Sox
Last play · Chase DeLauter lines out to first baseman Munetaka Murakami.
Win probability
White Sox100%
CLE 0%CWS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 0 – 0 CWS
Tied through 5
Total runs
7
opened 8 ↓
fair over 49.6% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-123 / +114
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
White Sox favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Tristan Peters doubles (22) on a line drive to center fielder Steven Kwan. Miguel Vargas scores. Andrew Benintendi scores. Braden Montgomery to 3rd. (inning 6) — +34% White Sox
8Braden Montgomery singles on a ground ball to left fielder Angel Martínez. Luisangel Acuña scores.3–6
7Angel Genao homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.3–5
6Chase Meidroth singles on a fly ball to right fielder Jo Adell. Braden Montgomery scores. Tristan Peters scores.2–5
6Tristan Peters doubles (22) on a line drive to center fielder Steven Kwan. Miguel Vargas scores. Andrew Benintendi scores. Braden Montgomery to 3rd.2–3
6Munetaka Murakami homers (26) on a fly ball to left field.2–1
6Rhys Hoskins homers (13) on a fly ball to left field. Angel Martínez scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
