Guardians at White Sox
Last play · Rhys Hoskins flies out to right fielder Braden Montgomery.
Win probability
White Sox100%
CLE 0%CWS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 2 – 5 CWS
White Sox led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 49.5% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +116
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
White Sox favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Colson Montgomery homers (26) on a fly ball to right field. Randal Grichuk scores. Braden Montgomery scores. (inning 3) — +27% White Sox
9José Ramírez out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Brenton Doyle. Angel Genao scores. Chase DeLauter to 3rd.3–5
3Colson Montgomery homers (26) on a fly ball to right field. Randal Grichuk scores. Braden Montgomery scores.2–5
3Randal Grichuk doubles (14) on a ground ball to left fielder Jo Adell. Miguel Vargas scores.2–2
1Munetaka Murakami doubles (11) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Steven Kwan. Brenton Doyle scores.2–1
1Nathaniel Lowe out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Brenton Doyle. Chase DeLauter scores.2–0
1José Ramírez singles on a line drive to right fielder Braden Montgomery. Steven Kwan scores. Chase DeLauter to 3rd. Fielding error by right fielder Braden Montgomery.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
