Reds at White Sox
Last play · Eugenio Suárez grounds out, shortstop Chase Meidroth to first baseman Munetaka Murakami.
Win probability
White Sox100%
CIN 0%CWS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 0 – 1 CWS
White Sox led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 52.7% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+132 / -142
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
White Sox favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Chase Meidroth homers (12) on a fly ball to left field. Colson Montgomery scores. (inning 6) — +17% White Sox
8Sam Antonacci flies out to center fielder Dane Myers.0–5
8Drew Romo singles on a ground ball to center fielder Dane Myers. Colson Montgomery scores. Tristan Peters to 3rd.0–4
6Chase Meidroth homers (12) on a fly ball to left field. Colson Montgomery scores.0–3
3Drew Romo homers (6) on a fly ball to right field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
