Mets at White Sox
Last play · Tristan Peters homers (9) on a fly ball to center field.
Win probability
White Sox100%
NYM 0%CWS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 0 – 0 CWS
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8 ↑
fair over 48.5% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-106 / -102
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
White Sox favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jared Young singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Brenton Doyle. Carson Benge scores. Luis Robert Jr. to 2nd. (inning 9) — -38% Mets
9Tristan Peters homers (9) on a fly ball to center field.1–2
9Jared Young singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Brenton Doyle. Carson Benge scores. Luis Robert Jr. to 2nd.1–1
8Andrew Benintendi doubles (19) on a fly ball to right fielder Carson Benge. Miguel Vargas scores. Andrew Benintendi to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
