Rangers at White Sox
Last play · Tristan Peters strikes out swinging.
Win probability
White Sox0%
TEX 100%CWS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 7 – 2 CWS
Rangers led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 8
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+116 / -124
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
White Sox favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Corey Seager doubles (11) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Tristan Peters. Elias Díaz scores. Cody Freeman scores. (inning 3) — -21% Rangers
9Wyatt Langford homers (15) on a fly ball to left center field. Nicky Lopez scores.11–2
8Jake Burger walks. Ezequiel Duran scores. Wild pitch by pitcher Trevor Richards.9–2
6Jake Burger doubles (19) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Tristan Peters. Evan Carter scores. Jake Burger out at 3rd on the throw, center fielder Tristan Peters to shortstop Colson Montgomery to third baseman Miguel Vargas.8–2
5Corey Seager doubles (12) on a line drive to center fielder Tristan Peters, deflected by right fielder Braden Montgomery. Justin Foscue scores.7–2
5Jake Burger homers (22) on a fly ball to center field.6–2
3Corey Seager doubles (11) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Tristan Peters. Elias Díaz scores. Cody Freeman scores.5–2
2Tristan Peters homers (10) on a fly ball to right field. Braden Montgomery scores.3–2
2Ezequiel Duran singles on a ground ball to second baseman Chase Meidroth. Corey Seager scores. Wyatt Langford to 3rd. Brandon Nimmo to 2nd.3–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
