Rangers at White Sox
TEX7–
CWS11Last play · Cody Freeman grounds into a force out, fielded by second baseman Chase Meidroth. Elias Díaz out at 2nd.
Win probability
White Sox100%
TEX 0%CWS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 4 – 10 CWS
White Sox led after 5
Total runs
7
opened 8 ↓
fair over 52.5% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-111 / +103
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
White Sox favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brenton Doyle singles on a ground ball to center fielder Ezequiel Duran. Colson Montgomery scores. Tristan Peters scores. (inning 1) — +14% White Sox
6Tristan Peters homers (11) on a fly ball to right field.7–11
6Justin Foscue homers (9) on a fly ball to left field. Danny Jansen scores.7–10
6Danny Jansen doubles (7) on a ground ball to left fielder Tristan Peters. Joc Pederson scores.5–10
5Miguel Vargas singles on a line drive to center fielder Ezequiel Duran. Sam Antonacci scores.4–10
5Sam Antonacci triples (3) on a line drive to right fielder Brandon Nimmo. Drew Romo scores.4–9
5Ezequiel Duran singles on a line drive to left fielder Tristan Peters. Justin Foscue scores. Wyatt Langford to 3rd.4–8
5Danny Jansen homers (4) on a fly ball to left field. Cody Freeman scores.3–8
4Chase Meidroth singles on a ground ball to center fielder Ezequiel Duran. Braden Montgomery scores. Colson Montgomery to 2nd.1–8
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.