Rangers at White Sox
TEX4–
CWS10Last play · Justin Foscue flies out to right fielder Braden Montgomery.
Win probability
White Sox100%
TEX 0%CWS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 2 – 6 CWS
White Sox led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 8
fair over 49.6% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -118
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
White Sox favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Joc Pederson homers (23) on a fly ball to right center field. Cody Freeman scores. (inning 3) — -23% Rangers
7Ezequiel Duran singles on a ground ball to center fielder Brenton Doyle. Wyatt Langford scores. Brandon Nimmo scores.4–10
6Brenton Doyle homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field. Munetaka Murakami scores. Braden Montgomery scores.2–10
6Sam Antonacci singles on a ground ball to left fielder Wyatt Langford. Miguel Vargas scores. Munetaka Murakami to 2nd.2–7
5Tristan Peters homers (12) on a fly ball to right field. Jake Rogers scores.2–6
4Sam Antonacci singles on a line drive to left fielder Wyatt Langford. Miguel Vargas scores. Munetaka Murakami to 2nd.2–4
4Miguel Vargas singles on a pop up to second baseman Justin Foscue. Tristan Peters scores. Luisangel Acuña to 2nd.2–3
3Joc Pederson homers (23) on a fly ball to right center field. Cody Freeman scores.2–2
2Brenton Doyle singles on a line drive to left fielder Wyatt Langford. Braden Montgomery scores. Brenton Doyle out at 2nd on the throw, left fielder Wyatt Langford to second baseman Justin Foscue.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.