Angels at Reds
LAA3–
CIN7Last play · Jorge Soler flies out to left fielder TJ Friedl.
Win probability
Reds100%
LAA 0%CIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 3 – 5 CIN
Reds led after 5
Total runs
9
opened 9
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+109 / -131
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Reds favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nathaniel Lowe doubles (2) on a ground ball to right fielder Jo Adell. Elly De La Cruz scores. Sal Stewart scores. Eugenio Suárez scores. (inning 1) — +15% Reds
8Elly De La Cruz walks. TJ Friedl scores. Matt McLain to 3rd. Wild pitch by pitcher Chase Silseth.3–7
8Matt McLain walks.3–6
4Mike Trout doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Spencer Steer. Yoán Moncada scores. Zach Neto scores.3–5
3Nolan Schanuel grounds out, shortstop Elly De La Cruz to first baseman Nathaniel Lowe. Zach Neto scores. Mike Trout to 3rd. Jo Adell to 2nd.1–5
2Spencer Steer homers (2) on a fly ball to left field.0–5
1Nathaniel Lowe doubles (2) on a ground ball to right fielder Jo Adell. Elly De La Cruz scores. Sal Stewart scores. Eugenio Suárez scores.0–4
1Sal Stewart reaches on a fielding error by first baseman Nolan Schanuel. Spencer Steer scores. Elly De La Cruz to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.