Angels at Reds
Last play · Ke'Bryan Hayes lines out to center fielder Bryce Teodosio.
Win probability
Reds0%
LAA 100%CIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 4 – 1 CIN
Angels led after 5
Total runs
9
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+149 / -181
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Reds favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Zach Neto homers (5) on a fly ball to center field. Adam Frazier scores. (inning 4) — -17% Angels
8Elly De La Cruz homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field.10–2
8Jorge Soler hits a grand slam (4) to left center field. Adam Frazier scores. Zach Neto scores. Mike Trout scores.10–1
8Mike Trout walks. Logan O'Hoppe scores. Adam Frazier to 3rd. Zach Neto to 2nd.6–1
6Josh Lowe homers (2) on a fly ball to right field.5–1
5TJ Friedl grounds out to first baseman Nolan Schanuel. Will Benson scores. Tyler Stephenson to 3rd. Ke'Bryan Hayes to 2nd.4–1
4Zach Neto homers (5) on a fly ball to center field. Adam Frazier scores.4–0
3Yoán Moncada singles on a fly ball to shortstop Elly De La Cruz, deflected by left fielder Spencer Steer. Jorge Soler scores.2–0
2Adam Frazier walks. Yoán Moncada scores. Josh Lowe to 3rd. Logan O'Hoppe to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
