Giants at Reds
Last play · Jerar Encarnacion flies out to right fielder Rece Hinds.
Win probability
Reds100%
SF 0%CIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 2 – 8 CIN
Reds led after 5
Total runs
9
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 52.6% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-112 / -108
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Reds favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · Sal Stewart homers (6) on a line drive to right center field. TJ Friedl scores. Matt McLain scores. (inning 1) — +24% Reds
7Heliot Ramos singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Rece Hinds. Rafael Devers scores. Daniel Susac to 2nd.3–8
4Elly De La Cruz homers (6) on a fly ball to center field.2–8
2Sal Stewart homers (7) on a fly ball to right center field. Matt McLain scores. Elly De La Cruz scores.2–7
2Daniel Susac doubles (1) on a ground ball to left fielder Spencer Steer. Matt Chapman scores. Jung Hoo Lee scores.2–4
1Eugenio Suárez homers (3) on a fly ball to right field.0–4
1Sal Stewart homers (6) on a line drive to right center field. TJ Friedl scores. Matt McLain scores.0–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
