Giants at Reds
Last play · Daniel Susac flies out sharply to left fielder Will Benson.
Win probability
Reds100%
SF 0%CIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 1 – 2 CIN
Reds led after 5
Total runs
9
opened 9
fair over 49.6% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Reds favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · Spencer Steer homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 3) — +15% Reds
5Willy Adames homers (3) on a fly ball to left field.1–2
4Sal Stewart homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field.0–2
3Spencer Steer homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
