Cubs at Reds

Scoreboard

CHC5–CIN3

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Great American Ball Park · CHC 53-42 · CIN 43-51

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
CHC	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	0	0	5	9	0
CIN	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	0	3	11	0

Last play · Sal Stewart grounds out, pitcher Trent Thornton to second baseman Nico Hoerner to first baseman Michael Busch.

Win probability

Reds0%

CHC 100%CIN 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

CHC 1 – 2 CIN

Reds led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

9.5

opened 10 ↓

fair over 51.7% · hold 4.6%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-102 / -118

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Reds favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓

Biggest swing · Alex Bregman homers (8) on a fly ball to left field. Seiya Suzuki scores. (inning 7) — -31% Cubs

Scoring plays

CHC–CIN · 7 total

7Alex Bregman homers (8) on a fly ball to left field. Seiya Suzuki scores.5–3

6JJ Bleday homers (16) on a fly ball to right field.3–3

6Ian Happ doubles (17) on a sharp line drive to left fielder JJ Bleday. Michael Busch scores.3–2

6Carson Kelly homers (6) on a fly ball to center field.2–2

5Seiya Suzuki singles on a line drive to center fielder TJ Friedl. Miguel Amaya scores. Pete Crow-Armstrong to 3rd.1–2

4Eugenio Suárez homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field.0–2

4Nathaniel Lowe homers (10) on a fly ball to right field.0–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.