Pirates at Reds

Scoreboard

PIT4–CIN1

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Great American Ball Park · PIT 56-56 · CIN 52-58

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
PIT	0	0	3	0	0	1	0	0	0	4	6	1
CIN	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	3	0

Last play · Eugenio Suárez strikes out swinging.

Win probability

Reds0%

PIT 100%CIN 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

PIT 3 – 1 CIN

Pirates led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8

opened 8.5 ↓

fair over 51.2% · hold 4.5%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-121 / +100

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Reds favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓

Biggest swing · Bryan Reynolds walks. Henry Davis scores. Jake Mangum to 3rd. Brandon Lowe to 2nd. (inning 3) — -14% Pirates

Scoring plays

PIT–CIN · 5 total

6Henry Davis singles on a fly ball to right fielder Noelvi Marte. Marcell Ozuna scores.4–1

5Jose Trevino homers (4) on a fly ball to right field.3–1

3Nick Gonzales reaches on a fielder's choice out, second baseman Matt McLain unassisted. Brandon Lowe scores. Bryan Reynolds to 3rd. Esmerlyn Valdez out at 2nd.3–0

3Esmerlyn Valdez walks. Jake Mangum scores. Brandon Lowe to 3rd. Bryan Reynolds to 2nd.2–0

3Bryan Reynolds walks. Henry Davis scores. Jake Mangum to 3rd. Brandon Lowe to 2nd.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.