Athletics at Reds
Last play · Lawrence Butler strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Reds100%
ATH 0%CIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATH 3 – 3 CIN
Tied through 5
Total runs
9
opened 9
fair over 51% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+121 / -129
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Reds favored ↑50%Athletics favored ↓
Biggest swing · Eugenio Suárez walks. Sal Stewart scores. Passed ball by catcher Jonah Heim. (inning 8) — +61% Reds
8Eugenio Suárez walks. Sal Stewart scores. Passed ball by catcher Jonah Heim.4–5
7Lawrence Butler reaches on a throwing error by shortstop Elly De La Cruz. Henry Bolte scores.4–3
5Sal Stewart out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Lawrence Butler. Elly De La Cruz scores.3–3
5Elly De La Cruz singles on a line drive to left fielder Tyler Soderstrom. Héctor Rodríguez scores. Matt McLain scores. Elly De La Cruz to 2nd.3–2
5Jacob Wilson doubles (13) on a line drive to left fielder JJ Bleday. Donovan Walton scores. Lawrence Butler scores.3–0
4Jeff McNeil singles on a line drive to right fielder Héctor Rodríguez. Tyler Soderstrom scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
