Marlins at Reds

Scoreboard

MIA8–CIN4

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Great American Ball Park · MIA 63-61 · CIN 59-63

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
MIA	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	4	1	8	14	1
CIN	0	0	2	0	2	0	0	0	0	4	8	1

Last play · Matt McLain strikes out swinging.

Win probability

Reds0%

MIA 100%CIN 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

MIA 3 – 4 CIN

Reds led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

9

opened 9

fair over 50% · hold 4.8%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-102 / -105

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Reds favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓

Biggest swing · Heriberto Hernández singles on a line drive to right fielder Noelvi Marte. Esteury Ruiz scores. Agustín Ramírez scores. Xavier Edwards to 3rd. (inning 8) — -39% Marlins

Scoring plays

MIA–CIN · 8 total

9Graham Pauley doubles (9) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Noelvi Marte. Owen Caissie scores.8–4

8Griffin Conine singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Noelvi Marte. Xavier Edwards scores. Heriberto Hernández to 3rd.7–4

8Heriberto Hernández singles on a line drive to right fielder Noelvi Marte. Esteury Ruiz scores. Agustín Ramírez scores. Xavier Edwards to 3rd.6–4

8Graham Pauley out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder JJ Bleday. Owen Caissie scores.4–4

5Matt McLain homers (11) on a line drive to left field.3–4

5Ke'Bryan Hayes homers (5) on a fly ball to left field.3–3

5Heriberto Hernández singles on a line drive to left fielder JJ Bleday, deflected by shortstop Elly De La Cruz. Jakob Marsee scores.3–2

4Joe Mack homers (12) on a line drive to right center field.2–2

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.