Padres at Reds

Scoreboard

SD5–CIN0

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Great American Ball Park · SD 73-65 · CIN 65-73

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
SD	0	0	0	4	0	0	1	0	0	5	15	0
CIN	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	1

Last play · Héctor Rodríguez pops out to shortstop Sung-Mun Song.

Win probability

Reds0%

SD 100%CIN 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

SD 4 – 0 CIN

Padres led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

9

opened 9

fair over 48.8% · hold 4.5%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-147 / +137

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Reds favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓

Biggest swing · Xander Bogaerts doubles (14) on a sharp line drive to left fielder JJ Bleday. Ty France scores. Jackson Merrill scores. (inning 4) — -21% Padres

Scoring plays

SD–CIN · 4 total

7Ty France singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Héctor Rodríguez. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores.5–0

4Dustin Harris singles on a ground ball to right fielder Héctor Rodríguez. Xander Bogaerts scores.4–0

4Xander Bogaerts doubles (14) on a sharp line drive to left fielder JJ Bleday. Ty France scores. Jackson Merrill scores.3–0

4Jackson Merrill singles on a ground ball to right fielder Héctor Rodríguez. Manny Machado scores. Ty France to 2nd.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.