Orioles at Guardians

Scoreboard

BAL2–CLE4

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Progressive Field · BAL 9-10 · CLE 11-9

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
BAL	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	4	0
CLE	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	·	4	8	0

Last play · Samuel Basallo grounds out, second baseman Juan Brito to first baseman Kyle Manzardo.

Win probability

Guardians100%

BAL 0%CLE 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

BAL 0 – 3 CLE

Guardians led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8

opened 8

fair over 48.3% · hold 4.6%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+113 / -136

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Guardians favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓

Biggest swing · José Ramírez homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field. Chase DeLauter scores. (inning 1) — +17% Guardians

Scoring plays

BAL–CLE · 5 total

9Pete Alonso doubles (5) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder George Valera. Blaze Alexander scores. Taylor Ward to 3rd.2–4

9Gunnar Henderson out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder George Valera. Leody Taveras scores. Blaze Alexander to 3rd.1–4

6George Valera singles on a line drive to left fielder Taylor Ward. José Ramírez scores. Kyle Manzardo to 2nd.0–4

5Orioles challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Steven Kwan singles on a line drive to right fielder Johnathan Rodríguez. Brayan Rocchio scores.0–3

1José Ramírez homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field. Chase DeLauter scores.0–2

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.