Orioles at Guardians

Scoreboard

BAL2–CLE4

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Progressive Field · BAL 10-11 · CLE 12-10

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
BAL	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	4	0
CLE	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	1	·	4	3	1

Last play · Leody Taveras strikes out swinging.

Win probability

Guardians100%

BAL 0%CLE 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

BAL 1 – 3 CLE

Guardians led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

7.5

opened 8 ↓

fair over 47.1% · hold 4.6%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+119 / -143

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Guardians favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓

Biggest swing · Brayan Rocchio homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Rhys Hoskins scores. Daniel Schneemann scores. (inning 5) — +40% Guardians

Scoring plays

BAL–CLE · 4 total

8Bo Naylor homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.2–4

8Gunnar Henderson homers (7) on a fly ball to right field.2–3

5Brayan Rocchio homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Rhys Hoskins scores. Daniel Schneemann scores.1–3

4Leody Taveras homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.