Astros at Guardians

Scoreboard

HOU9–CLE2

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Progressive Field · HOU 9-15 · CLE 13-11

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
HOU	2	0	0	4	1	0	1	0	1	9	13	0
CLE	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	8	2

Last play · Rhys Hoskins singles on a line drive to left fielder Dustin Harris. Rhys Hoskins out at 2nd on the throw, left fielder Dustin Harris to second baseman Jose Altuve.

Win probability

Guardians0%

HOU 100%CLE 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

HOU 7 – 2 CLE

Astros led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

7

opened 8 ↓

fair over 53.2% · hold 4.8%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+113 / -136

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Guardians favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓

Biggest swing · Christian Walker homers (5) on a line drive to left center field. Carlos Correa scores. (inning 1) — -21% Astros

Scoring plays

HOU–CLE · 8 total

9Isaac Paredes homers (2) on a fly ball to left field.9–2

7Cam Smith out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Steven Kwan. Christian Walker scores.8–2

5Yainer Diaz out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Steven Kwan. Christian Walker scores.7–2

4Carlos Correa singles on a line drive to center fielder Steven Kwan. Dustin Harris scores. Brice Matthews scores.6–2

4Brice Matthews doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to left fielder George Valera. Cam Smith scores. Dustin Harris to 3rd.4–2

4Isaac Paredes homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.3–2

3George Valera singles on a line drive to right fielder Dustin Harris. José Ramírez scores.2–2

1Rhys Hoskins singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Brice Matthews. José Ramírez scores. Kyle Manzardo to 2nd.2–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.