Astros at Guardians

Scoreboard

HOU2–CLE0

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Progressive Field · HOU 10-16 · CLE 14-12

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
HOU	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	6	1
CLE	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	0

Last play · Brayan Rocchio flies out to center fielder Daniel Johnson.

Win probability

Guardians0%

HOU 100%CLE 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

HOU 2 – 0 CLE

Astros led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8

opened 8

fair over 50.4% · hold 4.8%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+139 / -168

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Guardians favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓

Biggest swing · Yordan Alvarez homers (11) on a fly ball to right center field. Carlos Correa scores. (inning 1) — -21% Astros

Scoring plays

HOU–CLE · 1 total

1Yordan Alvarez homers (11) on a fly ball to right center field. Carlos Correa scores.2–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.