Astros at Guardians

Scoreboard

HOU5–CLE8

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Progressive Field · HOU 9-16 · CLE 14-11

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
HOU	0	0	0	0	3	0	1	0	1	5	10	0
CLE	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	6	·	8	11	1

Last play · Jose Altuve called out on strikes.

Win probability

Guardians100%

HOU 0%CLE 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

HOU 3 – 2 CLE

Astros led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

9

opened 8 ↑

fair over 47.6% · hold 4.5%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+129 / -156

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Guardians favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓

Biggest swing · Chase DeLauter triples (1) on a line drive to left fielder Brice Matthews. Angel Martínez scores. Brayan Rocchio scores. Steven Kwan scores. (inning 8) — +66% Guardians

Scoring plays

HOU–CLE · 8 total

9Yordan Alvarez doubles (8) on a fly ball to left fielder Angel Martínez. Brice Matthews scores.5–8

8Kyle Manzardo singles on a line drive to right fielder Cam Smith. Chase DeLauter scores. José Ramírez scores.4–8

8Chase DeLauter triples (1) on a line drive to left fielder Brice Matthews. Angel Martínez scores. Brayan Rocchio scores. Steven Kwan scores.4–6

8Brayan Rocchio singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Daniel Johnson. Daniel Schneemann scores. Angel Martínez to 2nd.4–3

7Carlos Correa singles on a pop up to second baseman Daniel Schneemann. Cam Smith scores. Yainer Diaz to 3rd. Daniel Johnson to 2nd.4–2

5Guardians challenged (tag play), call on the field was overturned: Yordan Alvarez singles on a fly ball to left fielder Angel Martínez. Yainer Diaz scores. Dustin Harris scores. Yordan Alvarez out at 2nd on the throw, left fielder Angel Martínez to shortstop Brayan Rocchio to second baseman Daniel Schneemann. Carlos Correa to 3rd.3–2

5Brice Matthews singles on a line drive to center fielder Steven Kwan. Isaac Paredes scores. Brice Matthews out at 2nd on the throw, center fielder Steven Kwan to first baseman Kyle Manzardo to shortstop Brayan Rocchio. Yainer Diaz to 3rd.1–2

2Angel Martínez homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field.0–2

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.