Rays at Guardians

Scoreboard

TB1–CLE0

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Progressive Field · TB 18-11 · CLE 15-16

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
TB	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	5	0
CLE	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	1

Last play · George Valera strikes out swinging.

Win probability

Guardians0%

TB 100%CLE 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

TB 1 – 0 CLE

Rays led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

7.5

opened 8 ↓

fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+109 / -131

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Guardians favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓

Biggest swing · Jonathan Aranda singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Angel Martínez. Taylor Walls scores. Ben Williamson to 2nd. (inning 5) — -16% Rays

Scoring plays

TB–CLE · 1 total

5Jonathan Aranda singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Angel Martínez. Taylor Walls scores. Ben Williamson to 2nd.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.