Rays at Guardians

Scoreboard

TB3–CLE2

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Progressive Field · TB 17-11 · CLE 15-15

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
TB	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	3	7	0
CLE	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	2	6	0

Last play · Daniel Schneemann strikes out swinging.

Win probability

Guardians0%

TB 100%CLE 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

TB 0 – 2 CLE

Guardians led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8

opened 7.5 ↑

fair over 51.7% · hold 4.6%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+119 / -143

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Guardians favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓

Biggest swing · Jonathan Aranda homers (7) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 8) — -28% Rays

Scoring plays

TB–CLE · 4 total

8Ryan Vilade singles on a ground ball to center fielder Steven Kwan. Richie Palacios scores.3–2

8Jonathan Aranda homers (7) on a fly ball to right field.2–2

6Ryan Vilade singles on a ground ball to right fielder Chase DeLauter. Yandy Díaz scores.1–2

5Daniel Schneemann homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field. David Fry scores.0–2

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.