Twins at Guardians

Scoreboard

MIN2–CLE1

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Progressive Field · MIN 17-23 · CLE 21-20

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	R	H	E
MIN	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	0
CLE	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	1

Last play · Brayan Rocchio grounds out, shortstop Brooks Lee to first baseman Kody Clemens.

Win probability

Guardians0%

MIN 100%CLE 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

MIN 1 – 1 CLE

Tied through 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8

opened 7.5 ↑

fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

+105 / -127

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Guardians favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓

Biggest swing · Byron Buxton doubles (7) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Petey Halpin. Matt Wallner scores. (inning 11) — -26% Twins

Scoring plays

MIN–CLE · 3 total

11Byron Buxton doubles (7) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Petey Halpin. Matt Wallner scores.2–1

4Kyle Manzardo singles on a ground ball to right fielder Matt Wallner. José Ramírez scores.1–1

1Byron Buxton homers (13) on a fly ball to left field.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.