Twins at Guardians

Scoreboard

MIN4–CLE6

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Progressive Field · MIN 16-23 · CLE 21-19

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
MIN	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	4	13	1
CLE	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	·	6	8	0

Last play · Josh Bell strikes out swinging.

Win probability

Guardians100%

MIN 0%CLE 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

MIN 0 – 4 CLE

Guardians led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

7.5

opened 8 ↓

fair over 48.3% · hold 4.6%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+123 / -149

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Guardians favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓

Biggest swing · Byron Buxton homers (12) on a fly ball to left center field. Royce Lewis scores. (inning 7) — -19% Twins

Scoring plays

MIN–CLE · 8 total

9Ryan Jeffers grounds into a double play, shortstop Brayan Rocchio to second baseman Travis Bazzana to first baseman Rhys Hoskins. Byron Buxton scores. Austin Martin out at 2nd. Ryan Jeffers out at 1st.4–6

8Austin Hedges singles on a sharp ground ball to second baseman Luke Keaschall, deflected by pitcher Anthony Banda. Travis Bazzana scores. Brayan Rocchio to 3rd.3–6

7José Ramírez singles on a line drive to left fielder Austin Martin. Steven Kwan scores.3–5

7Byron Buxton homers (12) on a fly ball to left center field. Royce Lewis scores.3–4

6Ryan Jeffers singles on a ground ball to right fielder Angel Martínez. Austin Martin scores.1–4

1Travis Bazzana homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. José Ramírez scores.0–4

1Rhys Hoskins out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Matt Wallner. Angel Martínez scores.0–2

1José Ramírez reaches on a fielding error by second baseman Luke Keaschall. Steven Kwan scores. Angel Martínez to 3rd.0–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.