Angels at Guardians
Last play · Nolan Schanuel strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Guardians100%
LAA 0%CLE 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 0 – 2 CLE
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50.4% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+113 / -136
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Guardians favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Angel Martínez homers (6) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 3) — +15% Guardians
8Vaughn Grissom homers (2) on a fly ball to center field.2–3
7Brayan Rocchio out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jo Adell. Petey Halpin scores. Angel Martínez to 3rd.1–3
6Jo Adell out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Daniel Schneemann. Oswald Peraza scores.1–2
5Patrick Bailey grounds out to first baseman Nolan Schanuel. Daniel Schneemann scores.0–2
3Angel Martínez homers (6) on a fly ball to right field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
