Angels at Guardians
LAA2–
CLE7Last play · Jorge Soler grounds out to first baseman Kyle Manzardo.
Win probability
Guardians100%
LAA 0%CLE 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 0 – 7 CLE
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8 ↓
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+144 / -175
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Guardians favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brayan Rocchio singles on a line drive to right fielder Jo Adell. Kyle Manzardo scores. Daniel Schneemann scores. Travis Bazzana to 3rd. (inning 2) — +20% Guardians
9Vaughn Grissom singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Steven Kwan. Zach Neto scores.2–7
8Jo Adell singles on a ground ball to center fielder Petey Halpin. Jorge Soler scores.1–7
3Travis Bazzana doubles (1) on a line drive to left fielder Bryce Teodosio. David Fry scores. Daniel Schneemann scores.0–7
3Daniel Schneemann singles on a line drive to right fielder Jo Adell. Rhys Hoskins scores. Kyle Manzardo scores. David Fry to 3rd.0–5
3David Fry walks. Chase DeLauter scores. Rhys Hoskins to 3rd. Kyle Manzardo to 2nd.0–3
2Brayan Rocchio singles on a line drive to right fielder Jo Adell. Kyle Manzardo scores. Daniel Schneemann scores. Travis Bazzana to 3rd.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.