Nationals at Guardians
Last play · Chase DeLauter grounds out, first baseman Andrés Chaparro to pitcher Mitchell Parker.
Win probability
Guardians0%
WSH 100%CLE 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 4 – 1 CLE
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8 ↓
fair over 48.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+109 / -132
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Guardians favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Keibert Ruiz singles on a ground ball to center fielder Daniel Schneemann. Daylen Lile scores. Jacob Young scores. (inning 2) — -24% Nationals
9José Ramírez grounds out, third baseman Curtis Mead to first baseman Andrés Chaparro. Brayan Rocchio scores.6–3
9Travis Bazzana doubles (4) on a ground ball to right fielder Dylan Crews. Steven Kwan scores. Brayan Rocchio to 3rd.6–2
9Andrés Chaparro singles on a line drive to left fielder Steven Kwan. Nasim Nuñez scores. James Wood scores. Andrés Chaparro out at 2nd on the throw, left fielder Steven Kwan to second baseman Travis Bazzana.6–1
5José Ramírez out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder James Wood. Steven Kwan scores.4–1
2James Wood homers (15) on a fly ball to right field. Keibert Ruiz scores.4–0
2Keibert Ruiz singles on a ground ball to center fielder Daniel Schneemann. Daylen Lile scores. Jacob Young scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
