Nationals at Guardians
Last play · Jorbit Vivas called out on strikes.
Win probability
Guardians100%
WSH 0%CLE 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 1 – 3 CLE
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 51.7% · hold 4.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+148 / -180
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Guardians favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Chase DeLauter singles on a line drive to left fielder Daylen Lile. Travis Bazzana scores. (inning 5) — +15% Guardians
9Daylen Lile out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Angel Martínez. Curtis Mead scores.2–3
5Angel Martínez singles on a line drive to center fielder Jacob Young. Chase DeLauter scores. Kyle Manzardo to 2nd.1–3
5Chase DeLauter singles on a line drive to left fielder Daylen Lile. Travis Bazzana scores.1–2
5José Ramírez out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jacob Young. Austin Hedges scores.1–1
3CJ Abrams doubles (12) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Chase DeLauter. James Wood scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
