Tigers at Guardians
Last play · Matt Vierling grounds out, third baseman Daniel Schneemann to first baseman Kyle Manzardo.
Win probability
Guardians100%
DET 0%CLE 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 1 – 3 CLE
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8 ↓
fair over 50.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-141 / +117
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Guardians favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Daniel Schneemann homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field. José Ramírez scores. (inning 3) — +23% Guardians
3Daniel Schneemann homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field. José Ramírez scores.1–3
2Austin Hedges reaches on a fielder's choice out, third baseman Hao-Yu Lee to catcher Dillon Dingler. Stuart Fairchild out at home.1–1
1Dillon Dingler singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Chase DeLauter. Gleyber Torres scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
