Tigers at Guardians
Last play · Brayan Rocchio homers (12) on a fly ball to left center field.
Win probability
Guardians100%
DET 0%CLE 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 6 – 6 CLE
Tied through 5
Total runs
8
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 51.7% · hold 4.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+108 / -130
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Guardians favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brayan Rocchio hits a grand slam (11) to right field. Angel Genao scores. Travis Bazzana scores. Patrick Bailey scores. (inning 4) — +48% Guardians
9Brayan Rocchio homers (12) on a fly ball to left center field.6–7
4Brayan Rocchio hits a grand slam (11) to right field. Angel Genao scores. Travis Bazzana scores. Patrick Bailey scores.6–6
4Travis Bazzana singles on a line drive to right fielder Ben Malgeri. Nathaniel Lowe scores. Angel Genao to 3rd.6–2
3Spencer Torkelson homers (22) on a fly ball to right field.6–1
2Hao-Yu Lee grounds into a double play, third baseman Angel Genao to second baseman Travis Bazzana to first baseman Nathaniel Lowe. Gleyber Torres scores. Kevin McGonigle out at 2nd. Hao-Yu Lee out at 1st.5–1
1Jo Adell out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Max Clark. Chase DeLauter scores.4–1
1Max Clark singles on a line drive to right fielder Chase DeLauter. Riley Greene scores. Ben Malgeri scores. Spencer Torkelson to 3rd.4–0
1Ben Malgeri singles on a ground ball to center fielder Steven Kwan. Gleyber Torres scores. Kevin McGonigle scores. Riley Greene to 2nd.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
