Mariners at Guardians

Scoreboard

SEA3–CLE1

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Progressive Field · SEA 42-41 · CLE 42-40

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
SEA	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	3	6	1
CLE	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	0

Last play · Kahlil Watson grounds out, shortstop Colt Emerson to first baseman Josh Naylor.

Win probability

Guardians0%

SEA 100%CLE 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

SEA 1 – 1 CLE

Tied through 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

7.5

opened 8 ↓

fair over 51% · hold 4.5%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-111 / -108

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Guardians favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓

Biggest swing · J.P. Crawford singles on a ground ball to second baseman Travis Bazzana. Cal Raleigh scores. (inning 7) — -19% Mariners

Scoring plays

SEA–CLE · 4 total

8Julio Rodríguez singles on a line drive to left fielder Steven Kwan. Colt Emerson scores. Randy Arozarena to 2nd.3–1

7J.P. Crawford singles on a ground ball to second baseman Travis Bazzana. Cal Raleigh scores.2–1

3Colt Emerson homers (7) on a fly ball to right field.1–1

1Kahlil Watson doubles (1) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Kyle Manzardo scores.0–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.