Mariners at Guardians

Scoreboard

SEA3–CLE4

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Progressive Field · SEA 42-42 · CLE 43-40

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
SEA	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	3	8	0
CLE	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	·	4	7	1

Last play · Josh Naylor grounds out, shortstop Brayan Rocchio to first baseman Kyle Manzardo.

Win probability

Guardians100%

SEA 0%CLE 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

SEA 0 – 4 CLE

Guardians led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

7.5

opened 8 ↓

fair over 47.9% · hold 4.8%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-155 / +129

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Guardians favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓

Biggest swing · Randy Arozarena homers (8) on a fly ball to center field. Julio Rodríguez scores. Dominic Canzone scores. (inning 8) — -19% Mariners

Scoring plays

SEA–CLE · 4 total

8Randy Arozarena homers (8) on a fly ball to center field. Julio Rodríguez scores. Dominic Canzone scores.3–4

5Brayan Rocchio doubles (13) on a ground ball to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Travis Bazzana scores.0–4

4Cooper Ingle singles on a ground ball to right fielder Luke Raley. Kyle Manzardo scores. Kahlil Watson scores.0–3

4Kahlil Watson doubles (2) on a line drive to right fielder Luke Raley. Travis Bazzana scores. Kyle Manzardo to 3rd.0–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.