White Sox at Guardians
Last play · Kahlil Watson singles on a ground ball to center fielder Junior Perez. Steven Kwan scores. Travis Bazzana to 2nd.
Win probability
Guardians100%
CWS 0%CLE 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCWS 3 – 1 CLE
White Sox led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 9 ↓
fair over 50.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+114 / -137
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Guardians favored ↑50%White Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Miguel Vargas homers (20) on a fly ball to left field. Tristan Peters scores. Sam Antonacci scores. (inning 5) — -43% White Sox
10Kahlil Watson singles on a ground ball to center fielder Junior Perez. Steven Kwan scores. Travis Bazzana to 2nd.3–4
7Steven Kwan singles on a line drive to left fielder Sam Antonacci. Brayan Rocchio scores. Austin Hedges to 3rd. Steven Kwan to 2nd. Fielding error by left fielder Sam Antonacci.3–3
7Austin Hedges singles on a ground ball to shortstop Colson Montgomery. Rhys Hoskins scores. Brayan Rocchio to 2nd.3–2
5Miguel Vargas homers (20) on a fly ball to left field. Tristan Peters scores. Sam Antonacci scores.3–1
3Travis Bazzana singles on a line drive to center fielder Tristan Peters. Gabriel Arias scores. Austin Hedges to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
