White Sox at Guardians
Last play · Brayan Rocchio homers (6) on a fly ball to right field. Daniel Schneemann scores.
Win probability
Guardians100%
CWS 0%CLE 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCWS 3 – 2 CLE
White Sox led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 49.9% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-101 / -120
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Stolen Bases Milestones, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Guardians favored ↑50%White Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brayan Rocchio homers (6) on a fly ball to right field. Daniel Schneemann scores. (inning 9) — +55% Guardians
9Brayan Rocchio homers (6) on a fly ball to right field. Daniel Schneemann scores.5–6
7David Fry homers (6) on a fly ball to left field.5–4
6Chase DeLauter grounds out to first baseman Jacob Gonzalez. Gabriel Arias scores. Steven Kwan to 3rd. Travis Bazzana to 2nd.5–3
6Chase Meidroth homers (7) on a fly ball to right field. Braden Montgomery scores.5–2
5Kyle Teel doubles (1) on a line drive to right fielder Kahlil Watson. Sam Antonacci scores. Miguel Vargas scores.3–2
5Sam Antonacci doubles (12) on a fly ball to left fielder Cooper Ingle. Tristan Peters scores.1–2
3Brayan Rocchio walks. Travis Bazzana scores. Kyle Manzardo to 3rd. Kahlil Watson to 2nd.0–2
3Travis Bazzana doubles (12) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Braden Montgomery. Patrick Bailey scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
