Pirates at Guardians

Scoreboard

PIT7–CLE1

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Progressive Field · PIT 51-47 · CLE 51-47

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
PIT	0	2	0	0	0	3	0	2	0	7	11	0
CLE	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	6	0

Last play · Gabriel Arias strikes out swinging.

Win probability

Guardians0%

PIT 100%CLE 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

PIT 2 – 1 CLE

Pirates led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

7.5

opened 7.5

fair over 50.2% · hold 4.8%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+109 / -131

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Guardians favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓

Biggest swing · Esmerlyn Valdez homers (11) on a fly ball to right center field. Bryan Reynolds scores. (inning 6) — -24% Pirates

Scoring plays

PIT–CLE · 6 total

8Ryan O'Hearn out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Chase DeLauter. Bryan Reynolds scores.7–1

8Esmerlyn Valdez strikes out swinging.6–1

6Nick Gonzales homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field.5–1

6Esmerlyn Valdez homers (11) on a fly ball to right center field. Bryan Reynolds scores.4–1

3Travis Bazzana triples (2) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Esmerlyn Valdez. Steven Kwan scores.2–1

2Jacob Gonzalez homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Tyler Callihan scores.2–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.