Pirates at Guardians

Scoreboard

PIT3–CLE5

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Progressive Field · PIT 51-48 · CLE 52-47

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
PIT	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	6	0
CLE	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	2	5	11	1

Last play · Travis Bazzana homers (8) on a fly ball to center field. Steven Kwan scores.

Win probability

Guardians100%

PIT 0%CLE 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

PIT 3 – 0 CLE

Pirates led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8.5

opened 8 ↑

fair over 49.6% · hold 4.8%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-111 / -109

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Guardians favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓

Biggest swing · Kahlil Watson singles on a line drive to right fielder Esmerlyn Valdez. Chase DeLauter scores. (inning 8) — +45% Guardians

Scoring plays

PIT–CLE · 6 total

9Travis Bazzana homers (8) on a fly ball to center field. Steven Kwan scores.3–5

8Kahlil Watson singles on a line drive to right fielder Esmerlyn Valdez. Chase DeLauter scores.3–3

8Chase DeLauter singles on a ground ball to right fielder Esmerlyn Valdez. Steven Kwan scores. Brayan Rocchio to 3rd.3–1

4Guardians challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Jake Mangum singles on a soft ground ball to catcher Austin Hedges. Brandon Lowe scores. Rafael Flores Jr. to 2nd. Throwing error by catcher Austin Hedges.3–0

3Esmerlyn Valdez doubles (7) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder David Fry. Nick Gonzales scores.2–0

2Brandon Lowe out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder David Fry. Ryan O'Hearn scores.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.