Pirates at Guardians

Scoreboard

PIT7–CLE1

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Progressive Field · PIT 52-48 · CLE 52-48

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
PIT	0	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	2	7	11	1
CLE	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	7	1

Last play · Brayan Rocchio lines out to right fielder Esmerlyn Valdez.

Win probability

Guardians0%

PIT 100%CLE 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

PIT 2 – 1 CLE

Pirates led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

7

opened 7.5 ↓

fair over 47.7% · hold 4.8%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-107 / -113

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Guardians favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓

Biggest swing · Jake Mangum called out on strikes. (inning 5) — -16% Pirates

Scoring plays

PIT–CLE · 7 total

9Esmerlyn Valdez homers (12) on a fly ball to left field. Jared Triolo scores.7–1

6Jake Mangum singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Petey Halpin. Billy Cook scores. Jake Mangum to 2nd.5–1

6Billy Cook singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Petey Halpin. Jacob Gonzalez scores.4–1

6Jacob Gonzalez doubles (5) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Kahlil Watson. Nick Gonzales scores.3–1

5Jake Mangum called out on strikes.2–1

3Steven Kwan singles on a soft bunt ground ball to first baseman Ryan O'Hearn. Gabriel Arias scores. Petey Halpin to 3rd. Missed catch error by catcher Henry Davis.1–1

2Billy Cook singles on a ground ball to right fielder Kahlil Watson. Nick Gonzales scores.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.