Twins at Guardians

Scoreboard

MIN2–CLE5

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Progressive Field · MIN 49-53 · CLE 54-48

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
MIN	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	6	0
CLE	0	0	2	0	0	2	1	0	·	5	9	2

Last play · Luke Keaschall flies out to right fielder Kahlil Watson in foul territory.

Win probability

Guardians100%

MIN 0%CLE 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

MIN 2 – 2 CLE

Tied through 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8

opened 8

fair over 48.3% · hold 4.6%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+134 / -162

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Guardians favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓

Biggest swing · Austin Hedges out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Austin Martin. Kahlil Watson scores. (inning 6) — +19% Guardians

Scoring plays

MIN–CLE · 7 total

7Travis Bazzana singles on a fly ball to left fielder Trevor Larnach. Kyle Manzardo scores.2–5

6Guardians challenged (tag play), call on the field was overturned: Guardians challenged (home-plate collision), call on the field was upheld: Petey Halpin out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Byron Buxton. Travis Bazzana scores. Gabriel Arias to 3rd.2–4

6Austin Hedges out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Austin Martin. Kahlil Watson scores.2–3

4Royce Lewis reaches on a fielding error by pitcher Parker Messick. Josh Bell scores. Royce Lewis to 2nd. Royce Lewis advances to 2nd, on a throwing error by second baseman Travis Bazzana.2–2

3Brayan Rocchio singles on a line drive to right fielder Luke Keaschall. Steven Kwan scores.1–2

3Steven Kwan doubles (12) on a fly ball to center fielder Byron Buxton. Austin Hedges scores.1–1

1Ryan Jeffers homers (9) on a fly ball to left field.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.